Wednesday, December 19, 2012

China has bailout decision

Analysis: Too big to fail? China's wealth management products stir debate
| Reuters

China International Capital Corp (CICC), a prominent Chinese investment bank, urged regulators in a December 4 note to allow such products to fail. Most are not guaranteed by banks, analysts say. "If we don't take this opportunity to let a relatively small-scale contract be broken, it will only reinforce the attitude that these products have a rigid return and a limitless guarantee," CICC said. Forcing Hua Xia to stand behind these products would cause "no end of trouble", it added.

The default of a Chinese investment plan has handed Beijing a tough choice: bail out investors and endorse moral hazard or let it fail and risk unnerving those who hold at least $1 trillion in so-called wealth management products.

US financial regulators faced a similar decision four years ago and decided on unlimited bailouts, because the alternative was in their minds an apocalyptic financial system crash.

Is that really the only alternative?

Update: What this means is that China is on the verge of a major financial panic.

Update: China Warns of Rising Financial Risks Dec 26 2012
Due to soaring bank loans, with lending to the property sector and local governments a particular concern, China's financial system is facing increasing risk, the finance ministry warned Wednesday.

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